FnarckPalloin
0xae5b6ac72d429e5df44fd68f946a52140b88ab1b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $697.9k
- Markets traded
- 3,835
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,835
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$149.40at 0.806US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
- +$124.60at 0.324Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 16?
- +$119.50at 0.760US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
- +$66.05at 0.352Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 12?
- +$45.39at 0.960Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on March 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:53 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $124.75 |
| 08-02 23:53 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $169.66 |
| 08-02 23:13 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 08-02 23:08 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $73.81 |
| 08-02 23:08 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.96 |
| 08-02 23:08 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.96 |
| 08-02 23:04 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $169.83 |
| 08-02 23:03 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $169.83 |
| 08-02 23:03 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $169.83 |
| 08-02 23:03 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $169.83 |
| 08-02 23:03 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $130.87 |
| 08-02 23:03 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $169.66 |
| 08-02 23:03 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $149.55 |
| 08-02 22:08 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $150.21 |
| 08-02 22:04 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 96°F or higher on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.54 |