PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

FnarckPalloin

0xae5b6ac72d429e5df44fd68f946a52140b88ab1b

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$697.9k
Markets traded
3,835
Open portfolio
$3.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,835
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 2? · No0.9991.000$169.91+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 2? · No0.9991.000$169.91+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 2? · No0.9991.000$169.91+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 2? · Yes0.9991.000$169.91+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 2? · Yes0.9981.000$169.91+$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 2? · No0.9991.000$169.91+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1? · Yes0.9981.000$169.91+$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 2? · Yes0.9991.000$169.91+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 2? · Yes0.9991.000$169.91+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 2? · Yes0.9991.000$169.91+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 2? · Yes0.9971.000$169.91+$0.41
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 2? · No0.9991.000$169.91+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31? · Yes0.9981.000$169.91+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 2? · No0.9991.000$169.91+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 31? · No0.9981.000$169.91+$0.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:53Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 2?BUY0.998$124.75
08-02 23:53Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 2?BUY0.998$169.66
08-02 23:13Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 2?BUY0.998$19.96
08-02 23:08Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 2?BUY0.999$73.81
08-02 23:08Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 2?BUY0.999$3.96
08-02 23:08Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 2?BUY0.999$38.96
08-02 23:04Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 2?BUY0.999$169.83
08-02 23:03Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 2?BUY0.999$169.83
08-02 23:03Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 2?BUY0.999$169.83
08-02 23:03Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 2?BUY0.999$169.83
08-02 23:03Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 2?BUY0.999$130.87
08-02 23:03Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 2?BUY0.998$169.66
08-02 23:03Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 2?BUY0.997$149.55
08-02 22:08Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 2?BUY0.999$150.21
08-02 22:04Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 96°F or higher on August 2?BUY0.999$2.54