PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xae76D530F96941810C9E24CA90C3f87A502146D1-1734919816580

0xae76d530f96941810c9e24ca90c3f87a502146d1

Realised P&L
$-979.42
Volume
$70.2k
Markets traded
129
Open portfolio
$49.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded129
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.4590.195$21.23$28.77
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.3740.378$15.15+$0.15
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.5460.290$13.27$11.73
Will Donald Trump say "Israel / Gaza" 6+ times during Syria President events on November 10? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET · Down0.0130.000$0.00$10.00
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump say "Tariff" or "Investment" 5+ times during the private dinner on November 12? · Yes0.3220.000$0.00$8.05
Manchester United vs. Everton: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5600.000$0.00$5.00
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.6250.000$0.00$44.61
Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5 · Over0.4000.000$0.00$5.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$10.00
Will Wendy’s (WEN) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.6600.000$0.00$5.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$50.00
Everton vs. Fulham: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4500.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET · Down0.4520.000$0.00$75.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-05 05:54Iran closes its airspace by May 8?BUY0.2399999986$100.00
05-05 05:53Iran closes its airspace by May 8?BUY0.2399999967$50.00
05-05 05:52Iran closes its airspace by May 8?BUY0.2399999986$100.00
05-03 05:13Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?BUY0.3399999967$50.00
04-30 05:33Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETBUY0.01$5.00
04-30 05:33Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETBUY0.02$5.00
04-30 00:16Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETBUY0.2999999928$25.00
04-30 00:16Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETBUY0.6099999988$25.00
04-30 00:15Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETBUY0.6$25.00
04-30 00:13Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETBUY0.7046446967$25.00
04-30 00:13Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETBUY0.7099999957$25.00
04-29 05:43Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETBUY0.209999974$5.00
04-29 05:41Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETBUY0.2699999806$10.00
04-29 05:21Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETBUY0.4994226674$25.00
04-29 05:21Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETBUY0.5099999786$10.00