0xae76D530F96941810C9E24CA90C3f87A502146D1-1734919816580
0xae76d530f96941810c9e24ca90c3f87a502146d1
- Realised P&L
- $-979.42
- Volume
- $70.2k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $49.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$248.79at 0.400Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$96.89at 0.660Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$75.69at 0.650US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$64.76at 0.410MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
- +$63.93at 0.610US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 05:54 | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY | 0.2399999986 | $100.00 |
| 05-05 05:53 | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY | 0.2399999967 | $50.00 |
| 05-05 05:52 | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY | 0.2399999986 | $100.00 |
| 05-03 05:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | BUY | 0.3399999967 | $50.00 |
| 04-30 05:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 05:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 00:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.2999999928 | $25.00 |
| 04-30 00:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999988 | $25.00 |
| 04-30 00:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $25.00 |
| 04-30 00:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7046446967 | $25.00 |
| 04-30 00:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7099999957 | $25.00 |
| 04-29 05:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 04-29 05:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 04-29 05:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4994226674 | $25.00 |
| 04-29 05:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |