PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x105d2E274A02bd026f6E47aE8604fF6c977aB33C-1749669718115

0xaf5b97a42a0f201ccbdfa071424dc5789e3afb1d

Realised P&L
$-736.53
Volume
$34.3k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$110.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration57.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes0.1230.055$110.54$136.79
Israel closes its airspace by July 15? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00$150.00
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$100.00
Iran leadership change by July 31? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$284.22
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00$121.50
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$7.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20? · No0.0250.000$0.00$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 09:55Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?SELL0.05$209.78
07-25 09:54Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.1518288447$442.32
07-21 17:59Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.08$86.00
07-21 17:58Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.08$300.00
07-21 11:05Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?SELL0.07421816$92.77
07-21 11:05Israel closes its airspace by August 31?SELL0.3648593649$331.69
07-20 09:22Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?BUY0.0599999923$7.00
07-20 08:50Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.1299999989$100.00
07-18 15:25Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?SELL0.08$14.73
07-18 15:25Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?SELL0.0880840903$16.97
07-18 15:24Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?SELL0.1324120241$73.56
07-17 16:36Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?BUY0.1038128376$20.00
07-17 16:35Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.1299999987$80.00
07-17 16:28Iran leadership change by July 31?BUY0.0397633136$84.00
07-17 16:27Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.1499999989$100.00