PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ProudVirgin

0xafe4e5c33388f4f79b018a28a624441d14c1d91e

Realised P&L
$-284.79
Volume
$39.2k
Markets traded
124
Open portfolio
$26.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded124
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? · No0.1600.170$18.70+$1.10
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1700.165$8.25$0.25
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$8.99
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · No0.3090.000$0.00$15.00
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$3.00
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? · No0.1300.000$0.00$3.00
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$6.30
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$0.70
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$11.10
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? · No0.0600.000$0.00$2.00
Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$25.01
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025? · No0.4900.000$0.00$6.00
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$5.00
Megaquake in June? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$3.50
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025 · No0.0860.000$0.00$48.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 20:04Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?BUY0.16$4.80
10-22 20:04Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?BUY0.17$8.50
10-22 20:03Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?BUY0.16$12.80
10-18 00:42Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025BUY0.2$2.00
10-16 02:43Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?BUY0.0599999724$2.00
10-16 02:35Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025BUY0.0639919257$5.00
10-16 02:23Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025BUY0.064$5.00
10-16 02:23Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025BUY0.064$5.00
10-11 05:04Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025BUY0.0635689907$5.00
10-11 04:32Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025BUY0.0649999886$5.00
10-11 04:31Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025BUY0.0643466824$10.00
07-16 19:01Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025BUY0.0899999845$5.00
07-16 19:00Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025BUY0.0899999845$5.00
07-16 18:59Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025BUY0.0899999845$5.00
07-16 18:57Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025BUY0.0899999845$5.00