ProudVirgin
0xafe4e5c33388f4f79b018a28a624441d14c1d91e
- Realised P&L
- $-284.79
- Volume
- $39.2k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $26.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$78.54at 0.208Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?
- +$61.61at 0.278Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$48.70at 0.102GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
- +$39.20at 0.2442024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
- +$31.04at 0.085Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 20:04 | Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.80 |
| 10-22 20:04 | Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $8.50 |
| 10-22 20:03 | Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $12.80 |
| 10-18 00:42 | Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 02:43 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.0599999724 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 02:35 | Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025 | BUY | 0.0639919257 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 02:23 | Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025 | BUY | 0.064 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 02:23 | Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025 | BUY | 0.064 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 05:04 | Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025 | BUY | 0.0635689907 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 04:32 | Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025 | BUY | 0.0649999886 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 04:31 | Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025 | BUY | 0.0643466824 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 19:01 | Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025 | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 19:00 | Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025 | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 18:59 | Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025 | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 18:57 | Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025 | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |