PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xb04895b46d744a55e399dd09A78CE8Ef215e7F07-1781456815311

0xb04895b46d744a55e399dd09a78ce8ef215e7f07

Realised P&L
$603.16
Volume
$325.7k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$5.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes0.7760.606$5.4k$1.5k
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$24.00
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1630.000$0.00$162.50
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Ghana? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$200.00
Will Florian Wirtz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$34.65
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw? · No0.5680.000$0.00$568.00
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$449.99
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$20.87
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$234.90
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 1.5 · Over0.3800.000$0.00$380.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.3330.000$0.00$333.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 05:35Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.61$321.57
08-02 05:34Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.608$90.53
08-02 05:34Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.607$131.72
08-01 12:13Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.624$63.65
07-30 15:55Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?SELL0.7651159176$650.35
07-28 12:45Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?SELL0.746$234.99
07-16 17:17Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.498$149.40
07-16 17:06Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?SELL0.874$137.22
07-16 17:01Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.764$382.00
07-16 17:01Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.763$22.89
07-16 16:56Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.4$192.80
07-16 16:56Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.4$200.00
07-16 16:55Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?SELL0.874$220.25
07-16 16:55Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?SELL0.8760449115$197.99
07-16 16:54Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?SELL0.8781622581$408.35