Sitdownandrelax
0xb09dfb36aa4718a3df7646251e0e047759af64c8
- Realised P&L
- $-39.6k
- Volume
- $3.91M
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $32.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.154 | 0.055 | $24.2k | −$43.4k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.123 | 0.065 | $8.4k | −$7.5k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.019 | $333.39 | −$1.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.0kat 0.172Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$562.50at 0.013Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$541.49at 0.007Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$376.59at 0.021Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$115.91at 0.088Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 13:10 | Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $30.00 |
| 06-24 20:53 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.0k |
| 06-24 16:15 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0799943363 | $494.34 |
| 04-25 07:40 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.018 | $90.00 |
| 04-20 23:00 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.0k |
| 04-08 10:06 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 03-28 02:30 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $10.4k |
| 03-25 08:54 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.0k |
| 03-14 19:48 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $5.5k |
| 03-01 10:19 | Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0763649235 | $48.16 |
| 02-28 05:00 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $9.2k |
| 02-28 04:02 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1257592186 | $126.00 |
| 02-25 00:48 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.5k |
| 02-25 00:48 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.1k |