PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Sitdownandrelax

0xb09dfb36aa4718a3df7646251e0e047759af64c8

Realised P&L
$-39.6k
Volume
$3.91M
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$32.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration83.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1540.055$24.2k$43.4k
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1230.065$8.4k$7.5k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0990.019$333.39$1.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 13:10Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$30.00
06-24 20:53Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1$1.0k
06-24 16:15Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.0799943363$494.34
04-25 07:40Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.018$90.00
04-20 23:00Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.01$2.0k
04-08 10:06US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.004$10.00
03-28 02:30Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.16$10.4k
03-25 08:54Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.16$10.0k
03-14 19:48Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.15$5.5k
03-01 10:19Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.0763649235$48.16
02-28 05:00Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.18$9.2k
02-28 04:02Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.1257592186$126.00
02-25 00:48Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.16$4.5k
02-25 00:48Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.16$1.1k