PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

-...Derrick.rose-

0xb0c85813a7a4428f1139ff91d3118a92c391fe7f

Realised P&L
$309.8k
Volume
$13.00M
Markets traded
34,675
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded34,675
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mitchell Berman be the WI-01 Democratic nominee? · Yes0.1250.992$564.45+$493.32
Will Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw? · Yes0.3331.000$189.91+$126.57
Will GIANTX Win LEC Summer Split 2026? · Yes0.0770.351$40.63+$31.74
Will Team Heretics Win LEC Summer Split 2026? · Yes0.0770.185$21.44+$12.55
Will Team Vitality Win LEC Summer Split 2026? · Yes0.0770.184$15.79+$9.21
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? · Yes0.2000.981$14.15+$11.26
Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw? · Yes0.3330.965$13.21+$8.65
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0110.001$13.04$280.05
Will Tarik Skubal's next team be Detroit Tigers? · Yes0.0300.220$11.00+$9.48
Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 7.2M in June? · Yes0.1250.111$8.84$1.16
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0770.915$6.62+$6.06
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 182m? · Yes0.1250.008$4.96$72.54
Will Team Falcons Win EWC 2026 COD: Warzone? · Yes0.0280.080$4.80+$3.13
Will OG win 1win Essence II? · Yes0.0710.046$4.09$2.26
Will Birmingham Legion FC win on 2026-08-01? · No0.5200.790$3.95+$1.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 00:17Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 3?BUY0.93$20.22
08-03 00:17Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 3?BUY0.999$21.72
08-03 00:17Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on August 3?BUY0.999$21.72
08-03 00:17Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 3?BUY0.4941398344$10.74
08-03 00:17Will CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?BUY0.97$5.00
08-03 00:15Will CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?BUY0.908$90.80
08-03 00:08Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on August 3?SELL0.01$0.04
08-03 00:05Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.96$172.80
08-03 00:05Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.31$55.80
08-03 00:03Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 3?BUY0.9399999954$4.11
08-03 00:03Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on August 3?BUY0.999$4.36
08-03 00:03Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 3?BUY0.6999999542$3.06
08-03 00:02Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.996$133.46
08-03 00:02Will SC Internacional win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.03$4.02
08-02 23:57Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.99$9.90