BobbyAxelrod33
0xb1291441c7c016e4f373418e00550949404f34bf
- Realised P&L
- $-237.4k
- Volume
- $1.25M
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $87.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-19.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes | 0.552 | 0.001 | $87.67 | −$96.8k |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.4k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yes | 0.229 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.5k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? · Yes | 0.456 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.1k |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.312 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.0k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.8kat 0.533Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
- +$3.2kat 0.780Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?
- +$-44.2kat 0.436Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 16:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.46 | $5.5k |
| 06-18 11:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.17 | $7.8k |
| 06-18 11:55 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.56 | $3.2k |
| 06-18 11:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.5499976636 | $11.8k |
| 06-18 11:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $378.00 |
| 06-16 23:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.5699581583 | $6.8k |
| 06-16 23:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.5598845 | $1.3k |
| 06-16 23:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.5498137809 | $311.19 |
| 06-16 23:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 06-16 15:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.4387179461 | $3.4k |
| 06-16 14:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.42 | $1.2k |
| 06-16 14:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.5961898106 | $2.0k |
| 06-16 11:47 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.399937137 | $954.31 |
| 06-16 11:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.17 | $17.5k |
| 06-16 11:33 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.2k |