PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

dee0ne

0xb12d4f5f528aff00674bdd88d3c79cae124926d1

Realised P&L
$-8.9k
Volume
$801.0k
Markets traded
237
Open portfolio
$11.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded237
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0910.085$9.1k$616.12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2250.205$629.58$61.06
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1500.155$434.34+$14.01
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? · Yes0.4250.230$278.95$236.98
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · No0.6980.700$250.92+$0.56
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.125$70.50$25.38
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6200.345$68.98$55.02
NATO article 5 before 2027? · Yes0.1500.065$65.00$85.00
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0360.061$34.79+$14.43
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · No0.2690.200$30.51$10.49
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.2750.115$13.48$18.80
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026? · Yes0.1260.075$1.95$1.33
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? · Yes0.0100.006$1.80$1.20
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting? · No0.1300.000$0.00$22.62
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 15:47NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.036$0.43
08-01 13:55Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?BUY0.7149948878$1.00
08-01 13:55Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?BUY0.7099999832$35.00
08-01 13:44Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?BUY0.7$38.28
08-01 13:42Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.2687813021$41.00
08-01 13:40Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?BUY0.7$70.00
08-01 13:35Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?BUY0.69$34.50
08-01 13:34Will Trump and Putin not meet?SELL0.74$148.00
07-30 14:42NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?SELL0.08$11.12
07-30 14:09NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?SELL0.1022553077$13.29
07-30 13:27NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?SELL0.1002969143$17.55
07-30 11:34NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.17$86.28
07-30 11:33NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?SELL0.084$1.34
07-30 11:33NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.18$5.40
07-30 11:31NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.1805513761$39.36