LS-ship
0xb141b29993bf40c9936a3cf5a516533a9368aa3b
- Realised P&L
- $-5.0k
- Volume
- $318.0k
- Markets traded
- 779
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded779
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.068Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
- +$703.08at 0.100Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$597.69at 0.070Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
- +$556.20at 0.090Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
- +$449.35at 0.240US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 21:28 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.73 | $146.00 |
| 07-25 21:28 | Iran full airspace closure by July 27? | SELL | 0.93 | $153.44 |
| 07-25 21:22 | Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.86 |
| 07-25 21:11 | Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2044766639 | $7.40 |
| 07-25 21:08 | Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.69 |
| 07-25 20:29 | Iran full airspace closure by July 27? | SELL | 0.92 | $184.01 |
| 07-25 18:39 | NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.83 | $66.17 |
| 07-25 18:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? | SELL | 0.36 | $72.00 |
| 07-25 18:39 | Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? | SELL | 0.48 | $86.40 |
| 07-25 18:39 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $68.32 |
| 07-25 18:39 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.36 | $72.00 |
| 07-25 18:38 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? | SELL | 0.95 | $190.00 |
| 07-25 13:20 | Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $16.00 |
| 07-25 07:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $174.00 |
| 07-25 07:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.68 | $136.00 |