0xB19e119a8Ed4539997e8E8B97a2196bF745d59Fb-1769722180205
0xb19e119a8ed4539997e8e8b97a2196bf745d59fb
- Realised P&L
- $-300.45
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $235.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.040 | $85.87 | −$64.13 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · No | 0.600 | 0.315 | $52.50 | −$47.50 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No | 0.460 | 0.215 | $46.79 | −$53.21 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.075 | $39.47 | −$60.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-5.43at 0.860Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
- +$-80.38at 0.140US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 22:30 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0698733894 | $150.00 |
| 08-01 22:28 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.4595404584 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 22:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $100.00 |
| 05-10 21:32 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999986 | $100.00 |
| 03-05 10:38 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BUY | 0.859682741 | $482.33 |
| 02-04 17:31 | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999998 | $562.71 |