BleatingWeasel
0xb2646a7dce9a70a3ae0e89f7fbf6849ca0caeb03
- Realised P&L
- $-465.31
- Volume
- $43.5k
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $487.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$175.84at 0.095Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$134.93at 0.069Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$101.11at 0.090Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$56.67at 0.150Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
- +$48.82at 0.170Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 15:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 04:46 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 04:46 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0047962643 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 04:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0163199479 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 04:42 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.011 | $11.00 |
| 07-30 17:42 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 17:40 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 17:39 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0109999989 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 17:39 | Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | BUY | 0.0352157316 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 17:36 | US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0072124487 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 17:34 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999958 | $15.00 |
| 07-30 17:32 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0290000001 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 06:12 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31? | BUY | 0.0359999966 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 07:40 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.0147573704 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 07:37 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0290000001 | $10.00 |