haimshor
0xb26aef46477ed551a3503ab40a3e36e87449c542
- Realised P&L
- $-163.59
- Volume
- $13.0k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.08at 0.650Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$67.11at 0.410Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
- +$53.33at 0.150Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$24.50at 0.800Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$14.43at 0.260Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:55 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999997 | $107.42 |
| 08-02 14:55 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999983 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 14:40 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $100.00 |
| 07-24 14:19 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999947 | $42.48 |
| 07-19 19:34 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099999969 | $50.00 |
| 07-12 01:56 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.819999998 | $66.75 |
| 07-12 01:55 | Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $69.63 |
| 07-11 19:12 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8138885469 | $117.30 |
| 07-11 19:09 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.809999996 | $200.00 |
| 07-01 14:31 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999993 | $48.00 |
| 07-01 14:17 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999952 | $100.00 |
| 07-01 14:16 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999993 | $100.00 |
| 07-01 14:11 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999993 | $100.00 |
| 06-23 21:10 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.996 | $124.50 |
| 06-12 16:10 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0259999975 | $10.00 |