BaseballBill
0xb272505077cc2c6bde5acca133ea6364152e5030
- Realised P&L
- $163.9k
- Volume
- $12.72M
- Markets traded
- 686
- Open portfolio
- $14.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded686
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar · Rafael Jodar | 0.398 | 0.375 | $5.0k | −$308.69 |
| Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) · Boston Red Sox | 0.550 | 0.665 | $3.0k | +$512.16 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.565 | $2.8k | +$424.50 |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala · Alexandra Eala | 0.370 | 0.185 | $2.8k | −$2.8k |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.435 | $1.8k | −$269.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.7kat 0.090Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$19.5kat 0.350Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
- +$19.3kat 0.050France vs. England: O/U 6.5
- +$17.6kat 0.120France vs. England: O/U 5.5
- +$16.1kat 0.019Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:32 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar | BUY | 0.4 | $331.82 |
| 08-02 18:11 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $750.36 |
| 08-02 18:11 | Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.46 | $34.63 |
| 08-02 01:06 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-01? | SELL | 0.86 | $2.6k |
| 08-02 00:43 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo | BUY | 0.68 | $5.1k |
| 08-02 00:42 | Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-01? | SELL | 0.48 | $2.8k |
| 08-02 00:31 | Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-01? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.7k |
| 08-02 00:28 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-01? | SELL | 0.74 | $1.3k |
| 08-02 00:12 | Vancouver: J.J. Wolf vs Mark Lajal | SELL | 0.55 | $6.9k |
| 08-01 21:55 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $795.53 |
| 08-01 19:32 | Canadian Open, Qualification: Dalibor Svrcina vs Titouan Droguet | BUY | 0.5 | $397.62 |
| 08-01 18:54 | Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $3.5k |
| 08-01 18:48 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.39 | $64.26 |
| 08-01 03:20 | Los Cabos Open: Coleman Wong vs Arthur Gea | BUY | 0.43 | $4.6k |
| 07-31 03:51 | Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Bernard Tomic | BUY | 0.7 | $7.0k |