PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xb27CA9773d64d7eA6C350199Bd2eDe6612E89697-1780359177175

0xb27ca9773d64d7ea6c350199bd2ede6612e89697

Realised P&L
$124.12
Volume
$24.3k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$95.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? · Yes0.2340.210$89.53$10.47
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0840.009$5.63$44.36
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$100.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$100.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$100.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$100.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$100.00
Will Spencer Pratt call for 1st round recount? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$23.19
Will France win on 2026-07-18? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$100.00
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00$100.00
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$100.00
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$100.00
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance · Colombia0.5400.000$0.00$100.00
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$100.00
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.2010.000$0.00$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 12:18Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0842987968$50.00
07-17 15:36Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4199999977$100.00
07-17 15:36Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.5$100.00
07-15 18:51Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3125$85.29
07-09 20:00Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.6174999992$48.00
07-08 20:37Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.1699999986$100.00
07-07 22:00Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5399999981$100.00
07-07 18:52Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.2699999983$100.00
07-07 17:49Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?BUY0.6099999985$100.00
07-06 20:09Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.3899999982$100.00
07-06 20:08Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.2399999986$100.00
07-06 01:53Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.1459999989$100.00
07-05 22:23Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.32$100.00
07-04 21:15Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.05$100.00
07-04 19:06Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.2099999984$100.00