0xb27CA9773d64d7eA6C350199Bd2eDe6612E89697-1780359177175
0xb27ca9773d64d7ea6c350199bd2ede6612e89697
- Realised P&L
- $124.12
- Volume
- $24.3k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $95.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$525.00at 0.160US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$376.19at 0.210Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$253.98at 0.132Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?
- +$244.83at 0.290US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$187.64at 0.313Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 12:18 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0842987968 | $50.00 |
| 07-17 15:36 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4199999977 | $100.00 |
| 07-17 15:36 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 18:51 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3125 | $85.29 |
| 07-09 20:00 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6174999992 | $48.00 |
| 07-08 20:37 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.1699999986 | $100.00 |
| 07-07 22:00 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-07 18:52 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.2699999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-07 17:49 | Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6099999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-06 20:09 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.3899999982 | $100.00 |
| 07-06 20:08 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.2399999986 | $100.00 |
| 07-06 01:53 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.1459999989 | $100.00 |
| 07-05 22:23 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 07-04 21:15 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.05 | $100.00 |
| 07-04 19:06 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.2099999984 | $100.00 |