PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xb3348BFdEFcFCae8B926db2A8F4fe91960050e27-1760579258497

0xb3348bfdefcfcae8b926db2a8f4fe91960050e27

Realised P&L
$-722.03
Volume
$19.2k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$292.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration48.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.6970.225$161.88$339.70
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3700.075$131.11$515.57
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$50.00
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31? · Yes0.4730.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$20.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00$9.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-14 01:33Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?BUY0.6971489097$501.59
03-10 10:05US x Cuba military clash in 2026?SELL0.4761452672$201.51
02-28 23:58US x Cuba military clash in 2026?BUY0.3299999863$13.00
02-28 23:58Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?SELL0.0060638301$12.59
02-28 21:12US x Cuba military clash in 2026?BUY0.2553236672$98.00
02-09 21:49US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.25$99.62
01-21 01:26Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.3699999996$446.68
01-21 01:25Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?BUY0.1299999995$200.00
01-19 01:36Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.3698023398$200.00
01-18 10:33US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?SELL0.988$846.36
01-17 19:42Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?BUY0.1299999985$70.00
01-17 19:38Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?SELL0.967$70.32
01-17 19:37US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?BUY0.9737081259$834.12
01-17 19:36Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.08$50.00
01-17 19:35Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?SELL0.998$884.12