0xb3ba8a8b66f068b81fa809ee24f23578bf35f84e
- Realised P&L
- $-53.8k
- Volume
- $3.92M
- Markets traded
- 1,455
- Open portfolio
- $5.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,455
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.998 | 0.995 | $2.7k | −$9.10 |
| Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.999 | 0.995 | $2.5k | −$9.97 |
| Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-7.5) · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.991 | 0.995 | $69.65 | +$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$327.83at 0.990Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins
- +$200.92at 0.980Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics
- +$145.66at 0.985Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels
- +$118.21at 0.998Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5
- +$113.40at 0.990Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:31 | Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 08-02 21:52 | Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-7.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 21:50 | Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 21:50 | Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 21:50 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.9989489729 | $594.74 |
| 08-02 21:50 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.998647895 | $310.51 |
| 08-02 21:50 | Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-02 21:50 | Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-7.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-02 21:50 | Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $173.25 |
| 08-02 21:47 | Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-5.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 21:47 | Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-6.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 21:41 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $814.87 |
| 08-02 21:41 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $1.4k |
| 08-02 20:47 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.9989013664 | $2.5k |
| 08-02 20:11 | Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.999 | $2.5k |