PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

SiKh

0xb3d343684ca9cde27d58cd6ea0bc4081768d76d1

Realised P&L
$-588.78
Volume
$113.5k
Markets traded
124
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded124
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2750.295$1.5k+$104.58
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.3510.365$445.29+$17.51
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.4710.290$348.00$216.99
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0740.054$234.35$84.62
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.3290.325$183.46$2.53
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · No0.4400.275$181.21$108.78
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.043$42.90$207.10
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.2410.012$8.52$162.97
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.3400.001$0.15$101.85
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026? · No0.6790.000$0.00$278.09
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? · No0.2500.000$0.00$175.19
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$21.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.6300.000$0.00$63.00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? · No0.2410.000$0.00$191.13
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$43.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 12:04Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.37$37.00
07-24 10:26Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?SELL0.38$22.80
07-23 07:39Anthropic IPO before 2027?BUY0.35$35.00
07-22 11:01Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.36$2.52
07-22 10:23Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.42$41.99
07-22 10:19US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?SELL0.92$165.59
07-22 09:52Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.2$40.00
07-22 09:08Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.38$19.00
07-22 08:54Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.4$20.00
07-22 08:40Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.38$13.68
07-20 15:40Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.31$31.00
07-20 07:49US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.46$46.00
07-20 07:49US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.46$92.00
07-03 15:25US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.46$13.80
07-03 12:35Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.026$7.80