PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xb4137939635b2d6d29bfac4429eaab05f5d81cb7

Realised P&L
$-12.4k
Volume
$1.52M
Markets traded
146
Open portfolio
$518.66

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded146
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:13Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?BUY0.2383574044$63.80
08-02 23:13Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?BUY0.1911130435$109.89
08-02 21:34Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?SELL0.7890100322$328.75
08-02 19:44Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.1299999789$5.00
08-02 15:37Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?BUY0.8399999986$350.00
08-02 09:47Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?SELL0.9575713599$2.1k
07-30 18:50Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?BUY0.2897145074$645.00
07-14 19:22Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.1974999936$20.00
07-11 23:08Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1549999975$50.00
07-11 22:55Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETSELL0.99$41.95
07-11 22:53Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETBUY0.5899999953$25.00
07-11 22:52Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?SELL0.105$28.77
07-11 21:51Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1824999975$50.00
07-07 20:46Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.2299999968$50.00
07-07 16:37Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?BUY0.119999999$100.00