PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

PMMMR

0xb47e0ebd655e6b0190a26b2814a9a2282dc0c602

Realised P&L
$-9.3k
Volume
$3.21M
Markets traded
3,300
Open portfolio
$4.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,300
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration4.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0760.073$441.02$13.69
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · No0.6000.655$425.75+$35.75
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · No0.3990.425$425.01+$26.28
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? · Yes0.1530.405$405.00+$251.46
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4700.445$356.00$20.00
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3760.455$268.20+$46.34
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3810.265$264.97$115.62
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.4000.475$225.63+$35.63
Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5) · Halmstads BK0.5330.525$196.88$3.02
Will Trump say "No No No" this week? · No0.4500.870$195.75+$94.50
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · No0.4000.445$182.90+$18.50
CDOriente Petrolero vs. CA Nacional Potosí: O/U 3.5 · Under0.5900.920$161.00+$57.75
Will CDOriente Petrolero win on 2026-06-21? · No0.4700.600$134.89+$29.14
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2800.320$129.47+$16.18
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? · Yes0.2590.120$120.00$138.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 07:22Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5BUY0.42$105.00
08-02 07:19Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)BUY0.5330565333$199.90
08-02 07:19CDOriente Petrolero vs. CA Nacional Potosí: O/U 3.5BUY0.59$103.25
08-02 07:18Will CDOriente Petrolero win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.4700057778$105.75
08-02 07:18CS Cienciano vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: O/U 2.5BUY0.53$106.00
08-02 07:18Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.61$106.75
08-02 07:17CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5BUY0.64$192.00
08-02 07:12Will Trump say "No No No" this week?SELL0.63$3.15
08-02 07:12Will Trump say "No No No" this week?SELL0.63$10.21
08-01 21:53Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.48$204.00
08-01 21:52Will FC Sion win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.55$205.15
08-01 21:52Spread: Bohemians Dublin FC (-1.5)BUY0.649$194.70
08-01 21:48FK Pardubice vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 2.5BUY0.5$200.00
08-01 16:46Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?BUY0.153545$153.54
08-01 16:44Will Trump say "No No No" this week?BUY0.48$29.28