PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

M2sx92kljs42

0xb4f2592e67c333e73c923547cfe05e768180e5fa

Realised P&L
$49.2k
Volume
$1.71M
Markets traded
511
Open portfolio
$109.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded511
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 13:44Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.4099929032$2.0k
08-02 06:23Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.8087304993$828.16
08-02 04:31Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.8349211854$211.87
08-02 04:30Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.3936623329$236.48
08-01 21:24Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?SELL0.8114482423$7.4k
08-01 21:16Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?SELL0.86$3.3k
08-01 15:40Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.9256804444$5.0k
07-31 22:11Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.69$1.2k
07-31 15:10Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?SELL0.170371611$167.34
07-31 13:14Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.4229134429$283.06
07-31 08:19Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?BUY0.927$1.5k
07-31 08:18Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?BUY0.9247362957$4.2k
07-31 08:17Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.93$1.9k
07-31 08:17Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.93$2.8k
07-31 07:03Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.0883335553$1.1k