PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

xiga

0xb53bbefadda65b824baa6871279648aff88de0d3

Realised P&L
$13.3k
Volume
$23.8k
Markets traded
121
Open portfolio
$14.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar55.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded121
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? · Yes0.2630.280$5.33+$0.33
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.4220.405$2.88$0.12
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? · Yes0.1600.200$2.50+$0.50
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? · Yes0.2210.265$2.39+$0.39
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · Yes0.3400.315$0.93$0.07
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.7300.555$0.76$0.24
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0760.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-07 07:18Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)BUY0.37$2.22
04-29 06:56Rockets vs. LakersBUY0.38$2.13
04-24 07:40Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0469999569$1.00
04-24 07:39Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.3499998988$1.16
04-21 19:29FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5BUY0.33999983$0.96
04-13 07:13Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY0.3599998704$1.00
04-11 17:32Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5BUY0.2899999547$3.55
03-08 16:46Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
03-08 16:46Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
03-08 16:46Hornets vs. SunsBUY0.3790034171$1.00
03-08 16:45Pacers vs. Trail BlazersBUY0.2290002024$1.00
03-08 16:45Bulls vs. KingsBUY0.55$1.00
03-08 16:45Magic vs. BucksBUY0.419000256$1.00
03-08 16:45Rockets vs. SpursBUY0.3490006879$1.00
03-08 16:45Wizards vs. PelicansBUY0.2090009832$1.20