xiga
0xb53bbefadda65b824baa6871279648aff88de0d3
- Realised P&L
- $13.3k
- Volume
- $23.8k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $14.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar55.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.263 | 0.280 | $5.33 | +$0.33 |
| Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.422 | 0.405 | $2.88 | −$0.12 |
| Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.200 | $2.50 | +$0.50 |
| Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.221 | 0.265 | $2.39 | +$0.39 |
| Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.315 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.555 | $0.76 | −$0.24 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.3kat 0.43076ers vs. Warriors
- +$5.60at 0.472Blue Jackets vs. Blues
- +$3.77at 0.370Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
- +$3.47at 0.380Rockets vs. Lakers
- +$3.41at 0.370Kraken vs. Kings
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 07:18 | Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | BUY | 0.37 | $2.22 |
| 04-29 06:56 | Rockets vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.38 | $2.13 |
| 04-24 07:40 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0469999569 | $1.00 |
| 04-24 07:39 | Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3499998988 | $1.16 |
| 04-21 19:29 | FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.33999983 | $0.96 |
| 04-13 07:13 | Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 04-11 17:32 | Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.2899999547 | $3.55 |
| 03-08 16:46 | Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 16:46 | Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 16:46 | Hornets vs. Suns | BUY | 0.3790034171 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 16:45 | Pacers vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.2290002024 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 16:45 | Bulls vs. Kings | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 16:45 | Magic vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.419000256 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 16:45 | Rockets vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.3490006879 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 16:45 | Wizards vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.2090009832 | $1.20 |