nonono001
0xb546e34d461b812d2f48730961086defa0d3ca22
- Realised P&L
- $4.5k
- Volume
- $50.6k
- Markets traded
- 2,398
- Open portfolio
- $105.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded2,398
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.02at 0.774Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?
- +$106.03at 0.120Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?
- +$97.30at 0.012Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on July 19?
- +$94.04at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on July 25?
- +$93.73at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 07:36 | Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.986 | $5.72 |
| 08-03 06:54 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.536 | $15.45 |
| 08-03 06:53 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.545 | $8.95 |
| 08-03 06:19 | Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | SELL | 0.07 | $13.18 |
| 08-03 06:03 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | SELL | 0.13 | $7.80 |
| 07-28 23:48 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.5899999544 | $4.14 |
| 07-28 23:48 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.95 | $6.66 |
| 07-28 23:48 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $6.94 |
| 07-28 23:48 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.00 |
| 07-28 23:48 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.44 | $3.08 |
| 07-28 23:19 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.9399999977 | $16.34 |
| 07-28 23:19 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.3999540283 | $6.96 |
| 07-28 23:19 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.9929999998 | $17.26 |
| 07-28 23:19 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.9399999977 | $16.34 |
| 07-28 23:19 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.6999999942 | $12.17 |