PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

nonono001

0xb546e34d461b812d2f48730961086defa0d3ca22

Realised P&L
$4.5k
Volume
$50.6k
Markets traded
2,398
Open portfolio
$105.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded2,398
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.1850.176$71.19$3.43
Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? · No0.4100.999$4.97+$2.93
Will Cook Islands United Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0330.020$1.99$1.33
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? · No0.5100.480$1.87$0.12
Will Christians Settler for Peace (C4P) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? · Yes0.0200.064$1.69+$1.17
Will Adriana Accorsi win the Governor of Goiás election? · No0.9770.954$1.56$0.04
Will Alliance of Bangsamoro Tri-People’s Party (ABOT) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? · Yes0.0200.058$1.54+$1.02
Will Jason Segel – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series? · Yes0.2000.029$1.43$8.57
Will Dungon Traditional Leaders Organization (DTLO) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? · Yes0.0200.051$1.37+$0.85
Will Iranun Sultanate’s League of the Philippines, Inc. (ISLPI) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? · Yes0.0200.038$1.02+$0.50
Will People’s Consultative (Mushawara) Party (MUSHAWARA) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? · Yes0.0200.037$1.00+$0.48
Will Nicholas Kiswanto be the HI-01 Democratic nominee? · Yes0.0830.024$0.96$2.37
Will MiniMax have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0320.093$0.94+$0.61
Will Bangsamoro Empowerment and Social Transformation Party (BEST PARTY) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? · Yes0.0200.044$0.88+$0.49
Will Bangsamoro Peoples’ Democratic Party (RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? · Yes0.0200.033$0.86+$0.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 07:36Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?SELL0.986$5.72
08-03 06:54Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.536$15.45
08-03 06:53Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.545$8.95
08-03 06:19Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?SELL0.07$13.18
08-03 06:03Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?SELL0.13$7.80
07-28 23:48Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 29?BUY0.5899999544$4.14
07-28 23:48Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 29?BUY0.95$6.66
07-28 23:48Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 29?BUY0.99$6.94
07-28 23:48Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 29?BUY0.998$7.00
07-28 23:48Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 29?BUY0.44$3.08
07-28 23:19Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 29?BUY0.9399999977$16.34
07-28 23:19Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 29?BUY0.3999540283$6.96
07-28 23:19Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on July 29?BUY0.9929999998$17.26
07-28 23:19Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 29?BUY0.9399999977$16.34
07-28 23:19Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 29?BUY0.6999999942$12.17