PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Ronoc

0xb638d7fe12675228351eb363dcebb61774a0e09f

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$9.7k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$469.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5600.555$409.22$3.69
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4900.545$55.61+$5.61
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.3000.027$4.50$45.50
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance · Mexico0.4700.000$0.00$35.78
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance · Colombia0.6100.000$0.00$49.23
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance · Brazil0.7000.000$0.00$36.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 23:20Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5599999997$198.91
07-19 18:32Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.56$14.00
07-19 18:27Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.559999999$200.00
07-19 18:27Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?SELL0.955$20.62
07-19 18:25Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5899999951$119.62
07-19 13:53Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.299999997$50.00
07-18 20:20US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?SELL0.958$59.13
07-17 14:21Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.9259999991$20.00
07-09 00:14Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?SELL0.01$0.73
07-09 00:14Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?SELL0.01$0.53
07-08 22:16Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?BUY0.3959044369$29.00
07-08 22:16Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?BUY0.5675406503$30.00
07-08 22:15Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.95$59.38
07-07 20:24Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.7699999788$20.68
07-07 20:23Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by July 31?BUY0.779999996$15.74