PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Humble

0xb6644a21bea104c3a804ffe373d21fae41798669

Realised P&L
$-16.3k
Volume
$1.13M
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0180.024$3.3k+$785.98
Will a Democrat win Washington Presidential Election? · No0.0180.000$0.00$202.87
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes0.2520.000$0.00$8.1k
Will a Republican win Colorado Presidential Election? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$1.4k
Will 7 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$55.81
Will a Democrat win Oregon Presidential Election? · No0.0280.000$0.00$47.80
Will 6 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs? · Yes0.1040.000$0.00$58.69
Rams vs. Seahawks · Rams0.4400.000$0.00$44.00
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? · No0.0960.000$0.00$42.07
Will a Republican win Washington Presidential Election? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$390.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 12:36Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.02$90.00
07-29 23:01Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.02$20.00
07-29 21:47Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.019$4.75
07-28 18:34Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.02$5.00
07-28 16:00Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.02$8.00
07-28 15:25Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.02$200.00
07-27 11:42Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.02$8.10
07-27 11:42Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0199815105$361.67
07-27 10:22Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.019$29.45
07-27 04:36Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.018$45.00
07-19 04:11Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.015$62.25
07-18 23:38Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.015$87.16
07-18 02:43Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.015$62.23
07-18 01:32Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.015$16.04
07-16 22:15Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.014$313.03