Elena-2026
0xb6c165bef6523f36dd35299e8c026a3b81eca400
- Realised P&L
- $671.95
- Volume
- $54.1k
- Markets traded
- 3,675
- Open portfolio
- $730.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,675
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.52at 0.260Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 43°C on August 1?
- +$11.36at 0.270Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 1?
- +$10.72at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 1?
- +$10.24at 0.340Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 1?
- +$10.24at 0.340Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 08-03 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 08-03 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on August 3? | BUY | 0.666 | $6.66 |
| 08-03 02:26 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 08-03 02:25 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.86 | $8.60 |
| 08-03 02:25 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 08-03 02:23 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 08-03 02:23 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 08-03 02:21 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 08-03 02:20 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 08-03 02:18 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C or higher on August 3? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 08-03 02:18 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.335 | $3.35 |
| 08-03 02:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 08-03 02:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 08-03 02:15 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.86 | $8.60 |