0xb734919d3c2006c8b82fa9bd2ea43920aaa45f70
- Realised P&L
- $-81.06
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $196.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.445 | $107.49 | +$6.04 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.435 | 0.530 | $48.78 | +$8.78 |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? · Yes | 0.159 | 0.100 | $25.23 | −$14.77 |
| Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.045 | $10.04 | −$1.12 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.065 | $5.42 | −$4.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.49at 0.193Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$62.00at 0.230Will Spain win the World Cup?
- +$26.28at 0.160Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$18.80at 0.290Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$11.67at 0.300Will the semifinals be FRA vs ESP and ENG vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 18:12 | Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.16 |
| 07-26 18:12 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.4199999927 | $22.86 |
| 07-26 18:12 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.4199999983 | $78.59 |
| 07-26 16:29 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 16:29 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4350500638 | $40.00 |
| 07-22 14:05 | Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 14:01 | José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? | BUY | 0.1585451125 | $40.00 |
| 07-18 22:05 | Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8465660656 | $98.75 |
| 07-18 15:12 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5999999941 | $20.42 |
| 07-18 15:10 | Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4093615902 | $21.68 |
| 07-15 10:42 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5099999974 | $25.71 |
| 07-14 17:50 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3459999685 | $5.17 |
| 07-14 17:48 | Will Spain win the World Cup? | BUY | 0.2299999908 | $18.52 |
| 07-14 17:48 | Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? | SELL | 0.2 | $16.17 |
| 07-14 17:48 | Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? | SELL | 0.2 | $9.67 |