PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xb7cd09ac4efe3d69ef7bfe65d97831b34790631b

Realised P&L
$-304.43
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$17.44

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-21.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration48.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? · Yes0.4990.484$9.71$0.29
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? · No0.7200.885$3.97+$0.74
World Cup Finals: Coin Toss Result · Argentina0.5301.000$3.77+$1.77
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$10.00
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00$10.00
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026? · No0.7000.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 21? · Yes0.0830.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 16:41World Cup Finals: Coin Toss ResultBUY0.5299998781$2.00
07-20 16:37Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 21?BUY0.0828912467$5.00
07-20 16:32Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?SELL0.6$7.88
07-18 23:21Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6099999863$8.02
07-18 22:32France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.4690920573$205.99
07-14 21:11Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.999$126.01
07-14 21:10Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$25.54
07-14 20:30Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.0952380952$10.00
07-14 20:20Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.9009900981$100.00
07-14 20:09Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
07-14 20:03Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.6599999842$10.00
06-29 21:52Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7199999554$3.23
06-29 17:48Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.699999972$5.00
06-29 14:47Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?BUY0.4992052652$10.00
06-27 13:38Trump out as President by June 30?BUY0.999$2.00