Rr55
0xb8ad2849635c9ce413f1fdd2e7b364bbfafeff58
- Realised P&L
- $34.3k
- Volume
- $5.09M
- Markets traded
- 2,370
- Open portfolio
- $56.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,370
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.514Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$3.7kat 0.442Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$3.3kat 0.811Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
- +$2.9kat 0.787Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$2.3kat 0.584Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 13:23 | Will Craig Greenberg win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election? | BUY | 0.88 | $176.00 |
| 08-02 10:15 | Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 08-02 10:08 | Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 08-02 10:06 | Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 08-01 10:25 | Will United Russia win the next Chukotka Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections? | SELL | 0.986 | $197.20 |
| 07-31 08:55 | Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.931 | $186.20 |
| 07-30 17:33 | Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $58.00 |
| 07-30 17:27 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92492505 | $184.99 |
| 07-30 17:08 | Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.973 | $194.60 |
| 07-30 17:07 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.2k |
| 07-30 13:52 | Will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.977 | $272.88 |
| 07-30 09:32 | Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? | BUY | 0.2084748 | $62.54 |
| 07-29 19:12 | Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? | BUY | 0.65 | $260.00 |
| 07-29 19:03 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 07-29 18:54 | Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.224338 | $22.43 |