PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

gavinfunda

0xb92449f0f035e2e9de00f1f9a8f19e0158af0803

Realised P&L
$-9.9k
Volume
$1.89M
Markets traded
4,913
Open portfolio
$3.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,913
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8600.875$218.75+$3.75
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? · No0.9650.918$192.78$9.87
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2? · No0.9911.000$100.00+$0.90
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? · No0.9360.908$90.80$2.80
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 115 mph? · No0.9711.000$90.00+$2.61
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · No0.8500.835$83.50$1.50
Will the Los Angeles Angels hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? · No0.9840.991$74.33+$0.53
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? · No0.9730.990$74.25+$1.27
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026? · No0.9830.971$72.79$0.94
Will Azzi Fudd have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? · No0.9860.958$71.85$2.10
Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · No0.9820.944$70.76$2.89
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? · No0.9310.931$69.83+$0.00
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · No0.7100.695$69.49$1.51
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · No0.9330.919$68.56$1.01
Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · No0.9120.905$67.91$0.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:51Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?SELL0.872$1.35
08-03 03:51Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?SELL0.87$8.06
08-03 03:51Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?SELL0.27$6.75
08-03 03:51Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?SELL0.101$1.02
08-03 03:51Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?SELL0.56$14.00
08-03 03:51Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.839$4.20
08-03 03:51Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30?SELL0.67$25.19
08-03 03:50Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?SELL0.92$46.00
08-03 03:50Will the Brooklyn Nets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?SELL0.03$1.50
08-03 03:50Will Congress override any veto in 2026?SELL0.929$11.68
08-03 03:50Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?SELL0.14$0.81
08-03 03:50Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.29$18.13
08-03 03:50Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.54$33.75
08-03 03:50Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?SELL0.82$51.25
08-03 03:50Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.55$34.38