MisaCanon
0xb95a51c3e7d6087501818578b483fafed1c2a0ae
- Realised P&L
- $-8.3k
- Volume
- $69.1k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.273 | 0.075 | $3.4k | −$9.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$379.00at 0.170Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$356.84at 0.199Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- +$-12.08at 0.016Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 19:38 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.187467283 | $4.8k |
| 02-28 14:20 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.5430245685 | $691.79 |
| 02-28 14:02 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.3761784108 | $691.50 |
| 02-04 14:37 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.29 |
| 01-27 06:51 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.3599999999 | $1.6k |
| 01-27 06:49 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.2564800819 | $1.6k |
| 01-26 08:54 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.3599999973 | $47.89 |
| 01-25 16:29 | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | SELL | 0.013 | $47.89 |
| 01-21 21:42 | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | BUY | 0.0162800299 | $59.97 |
| 01-21 20:40 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.1699999996 | $312.50 |
| 01-21 20:38 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.3622203758 | $4.7k |
| 01-21 20:37 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.1993807356 | $1.2k |
| 01-14 15:05 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.49 | $610.21 |
| 01-14 15:03 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |