PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Joebama

0xb9cfb65e4ed4a953a72a6ea23d834a41daba75d1

Realised P&L
$-10.4k
Volume
$1.13M
Markets traded
178
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded178
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.1690.038$334.00$1.1k
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0150.005$247.50$429.66
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0300.004$180.00$1.2k
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0480.004$157.50$2.0k
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0330.004$157.50$1.3k
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0110.003$135.00$357.26
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.1720.045$108.43$305.65
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026? · Yes0.2330.048$69.32$271.11
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0080.002$67.50$297.77
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0070.002$67.50$259.38
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0090.002$67.50$323.10
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0090.002$67.50$345.91
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? · Yes0.2460.063$47.87$140.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-23 18:51Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?SELL0.1630871795$6.36
05-23 18:49Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?SELL0.0172396296$6.98
05-23 18:47New pandemic in 2026?SELL0.1$76.92
04-15 14:43Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?SELL0.967$20.22
04-15 14:43Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?SELL0.94$884.46
04-15 14:42Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?SELL0.86$130.45
04-14 17:21Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?SELL0.15$261.15
04-13 17:37Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?BUY0.89$391.51
04-13 16:11Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY0.649999999$97.20
04-10 16:38Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?SELL0.935$476.99
04-10 15:35Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?SELL0.9371439539$449.19
04-07 17:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?BUY0.81$39.88
04-07 17:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?BUY0.81$86.07
04-03 15:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?BUY0.86$382.13
04-03 15:38Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?SELL0.999$386.07