PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

stizzyb

0xba91d38bb5b3a1de3746a4d5215ac155546c1f7f

Realised P&L
$-20.23
Volume
$24.7k
Markets traded
198
Open portfolio
$19.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded198
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2440.192$5.57$1.53
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0660.048$3.96$1.54
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0140.009$3.39$1.61
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes0.0710.044$3.10$1.90
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.2000.095$2.38$2.63
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? · Yes0.0600.040$1.34$0.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-08 06:56Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETBUY0.2199999725$4.80
07-08 02:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETBUY0.1611527096$20.00
07-08 01:55Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.1399999942$19.78
07-08 01:36Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETBUY0.1699999938$19.92
07-07 17:38Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.017$0.17
07-07 16:23Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.163$7.24
07-07 16:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.222732127$19.92
07-07 15:45Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETBUY0.1839423434$19.95
07-07 15:41Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.169999994$19.98
07-07 15:36Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETBUY0.209999992$19.78
07-07 15:16Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY0.179999994$19.78
07-07 13:16Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETBUY0.209999992$19.78
07-07 13:11Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.16$16.50
07-07 13:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETBUY0.1799999937$19.92
07-07 11:45Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETBUY0.1399999943$19.80