stizzyb
0xba91d38bb5b3a1de3746a4d5215ac155546c1f7f
- Realised P&L
- $-20.23
- Volume
- $24.7k
- Markets traded
- 198
- Open portfolio
- $19.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded198
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.244 | 0.192 | $5.57 | −$1.53 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.048 | $3.96 | −$1.54 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.009 | $3.39 | −$1.61 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.044 | $3.10 | −$1.90 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.095 | $2.38 | −$2.63 |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.040 | $1.34 | −$0.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.71at 0.140Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?
- +$30.21at 0.158Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
- +$28.84at 0.160Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-19?
- +$28.48at 0.165Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
- +$27.03at 0.170Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 06:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2199999725 | $4.80 |
| 07-08 02:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1611527096 | $20.00 |
| 07-08 01:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1399999942 | $19.78 |
| 07-08 01:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | BUY | 0.1699999938 | $19.92 |
| 07-07 17:38 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.17 |
| 07-07 16:23 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.163 | $7.24 |
| 07-07 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.222732127 | $19.92 |
| 07-07 15:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.1839423434 | $19.95 |
| 07-07 15:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.169999994 | $19.98 |
| 07-07 15:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.209999992 | $19.78 |
| 07-07 15:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.179999994 | $19.78 |
| 07-07 13:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.209999992 | $19.78 |
| 07-07 13:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $16.50 |
| 07-07 13:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.1799999937 | $19.92 |
| 07-07 11:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | BUY | 0.1399999943 | $19.80 |