PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Bodytobody

0xbd14da5083afdef8518339c2c1b7b19a491576b4

Realised P&L
$-132.3k
Volume
$7.39M
Markets traded
6,301
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,301
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration58.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement? · Yes0.9250.916$458.25$4.25
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? · Yes0.6290.375$294.44$199.26
Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa? · No0.3900.315$257.99$61.42
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? · Yes0.7600.520$235.56$108.72
Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? · No0.6900.285$192.88$274.25
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.7000.445$185.12$106.08
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? · Yes0.3600.265$152.64$54.72
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026? · No0.7800.605$152.25$44.04
Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%? · Yes0.6100.445$128.16$47.52
Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30? · No0.8060.618$118.04$35.91
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? · No0.3100.225$114.53$43.26
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? · No0.8700.845$106.47$3.15
Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid? · No0.4400.380$91.20$14.40
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? · Yes0.7300.440$88.00$58.00
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? · Yes0.6100.505$80.85$16.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 09:00Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?SELL0.42$2.85
08-03 09:00Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?SELL0.8$4.67
08-03 09:00Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?SELL0.34$204.34
08-03 08:58Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?SELL0.45$5.95
08-03 08:58Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?SELL0.8$24.00
08-03 08:58Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026?SELL0.68$9.23
08-03 08:57Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026?SELL0.77$16.76
08-03 08:56Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?SELL0.43$2.92
08-03 08:56Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?SELL0.27$13.50
08-03 08:56Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?SELL0.81$56.36
08-03 08:54Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?SELL0.44$8.80
08-03 08:54Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?SELL0.8$39.66
08-03 08:53Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?SELL0.46$7.92
08-03 08:37Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.302$74.29
08-03 08:16Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?SELL0.4557485714$47.85