PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

diaonilaomunongshanghang10

0xbd4da459d1621c4ed842ecd33cca8fe8ba651c7e

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$86.5k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$235.59

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1420.525$84.36+$61.49
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.2790.305$60.77+$5.22
Will Lyft (LYFT) Q2 rides be above 265M? · Yes0.2780.245$33.20$4.53
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by August 31? · Yes0.3470.485$32.01+$9.08
Will the Republican Party win the GA-06 House seat? · Yes0.0270.035$9.98+$2.35
Will LI.FI launch a token by June 30, 2027? · No0.7800.790$3.95+$0.05
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31? · No0.8000.765$3.83$0.17
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · Yes0.3560.158$3.15$3.98
Will Spotify say "World Cup" during earnings call? · No0.8200.515$2.58$1.52
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%? · Yes0.2820.266$1.67$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 02:29Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by August 31?SELL0.4$8.00
08-03 02:28Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by August 31?BUY0.3398765432$27.53
08-03 02:25Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?SELL0.2102383109$44.11
08-02 23:05Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?SELL0.3$30.60
08-02 14:44Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?SELL0.3$2.25
08-02 14:10Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?SELL0.3$2.25
08-02 13:55Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?SELL0.311$7.00
08-02 13:55Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?SELL0.069$1.20
08-02 13:54Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?SELL0.1572658386$27.73
08-02 13:38Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?SELL0.101$6.97
08-02 13:35Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?SELL0.177$3.54
08-02 13:34US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.75$7.50
08-02 13:27Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?SELL0.19$8.50
08-02 13:26Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?SELL0.1673134236$8.15
08-02 13:19Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?SELL0.17966675$7.19