Filip965
0xbdaf6935d07182da3215899bb604c6f9813baecd
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $596.8k
- Markets traded
- 123
- Open portfolio
- $96.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded123
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$280.12at 0.460Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
- +$249.25at 0.630Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?
- +$220.00at 0.800Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?
- +$200.07at 0.643Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
- +$74.00at 0.260Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 09:44 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.87 | $870.00 |
| 06-20 15:02 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.8 | $880.00 |
| 05-14 07:48 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $39.34 |
| 05-01 12:41 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $115.70 |
| 04-29 14:50 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $799.20 |
| 04-29 14:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $825.49 |
| 04-08 16:24 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.03 | $9.00 |
| 04-08 16:23 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.993 | $207.79 |
| 04-08 15:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.994 | $831.99 |
| 04-08 15:58 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.996 | $831.99 |
| 03-03 17:00 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $826.99 |
| 02-27 11:36 | US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $9.20 |
| 02-24 17:03 | Will Jupiter be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.9315 | $37.26 |
| 02-24 17:02 | Will Dexscreener be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.986 | $98.60 |
| 02-22 16:51 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23? | SELL | 0.46 | $320.68 |