PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Filip965

0xbdaf6935d07182da3215899bb604c6f9813baecd

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$596.8k
Markets traded
123
Open portfolio
$96.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded123
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.7200.405$96.08$74.72
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on October 12? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$5.26
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? · No0.0470.000$0.00$7.05
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? · No0.0500.000$0.00$32.50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8700.000$0.00$870.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$9.00
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$19.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October 19? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$20.08
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 17? · No0.0460.000$0.00$9.20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$39.34
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · No0.1100.000$0.00$112.23
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? · No0.2200.000$0.00$33.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 09:44Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.87$870.00
06-20 15:02Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.8$880.00
05-14 07:48US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.14$39.34
05-01 12:41Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?BUY0.89$115.70
04-29 14:50Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$799.20
04-29 14:36Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?SELL0.998$825.49
04-08 16:24Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.03$9.00
04-08 16:23Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?SELL0.993$207.79
04-08 15:58Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.994$831.99
04-08 15:58Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?SELL0.996$831.99
03-03 17:00Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.996$826.99
02-27 11:36US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?BUY0.23$9.20
02-24 17:03Will Jupiter be accused of insider trading?BUY0.9315$37.26
02-24 17:02Will Dexscreener be accused of insider trading?BUY0.986$98.60
02-22 16:51S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?SELL0.46$320.68