0xbE4eAc1e977cFF2eCC7E0667f35d160fa974d0c6-1773956533353
0xbe4eac1e977cff2ecc7e0667f35d160fa974d0c6
- Realised P&L
- $-11.0k
- Volume
- $773.7k
- Markets traded
- 423
- Open portfolio
- $468.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded423
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.086Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 18?
- +$2.4kat 0.170S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 5?
- +$2.2kat 0.092S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?
- +$1.9kat 0.293Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.160S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 00:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.2475288212 | $134.62 |
| 08-02 00:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.2414202942 | $130.00 |
| 08-02 00:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.22 | $3.52 |
| 08-02 00:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.2952590258 | $300.00 |
| 08-02 00:00 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.3337035043 | $582.69 |
| 07-31 21:18 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.4 | $14.00 |
| 07-31 17:08 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.0389902875 | $61.38 |
| 07-31 17:07 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.038 | $0.75 |
| 07-31 15:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.0478 | $7.17 |
| 07-31 13:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.31 | $182.90 |
| 07-31 13:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $10.02 |
| 07-31 13:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 31? | SELL | 0.7 | $489.98 |
| 07-31 10:15 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.0096390695 | $6.03 |
| 07-31 06:01 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $87.22 |
| 07-31 05:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |