Fergo07
0xbed7ca5224dc7d145c722a1f9cd9d8926ee8887d
- Realised P&L
- $229.71
- Volume
- $90.2k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $180.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.00at 0.011Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$48.51at 0.130Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$38.00at 0.455Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$31.45at 0.007Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$27.34at 0.002Will Anna Kalinskaya be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 13:06 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.035 | $6.16 |
| 07-19 21:52 | Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.20 |
| 07-19 21:18 | Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.20 |
| 07-19 21:18 | Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $3.80 |
| 07-19 13:46 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.031 | $6.07 |
| 07-19 13:45 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.26 |
| 07-18 15:11 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.0283004473 | $46.69 |
| 07-15 23:46 | Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.01 |
| 07-14 21:19 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.50 |
| 07-07 20:55 | Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | SELL | 0.122 | $4.26 |
| 07-07 18:00 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.30 |
| 07-06 20:55 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.29 |
| 07-05 15:19 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.023 | $4.60 |
| 07-05 15:10 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.02397 | $4.79 |
| 07-04 16:10 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.01 | $7.00 |