PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Fergo07

0xbed7ca5224dc7d145c722a1f9cd9d8926ee8887d

Realised P&L
$229.71
Volume
$90.2k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$180.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8910.966$67.58+$5.21
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.0130.024$24.00+$11.00
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.2300.325$22.75+$6.65
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0310.029$15.59$0.79
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.0070.009$11.29+$2.97
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0130.034$10.05+$6.15
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0280.028$8.61$0.16
Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes0.0300.037$7.50+$1.50
Will Holger Rune win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.0020.003$5.50+$0.80
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.0050.004$3.60$0.40
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes0.0200.015$3.10$0.90
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0020.001$1.55$4.65
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$6.30
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$8.00
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open? · Yes0.1260.000$0.00$2.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 13:06Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.035$6.16
07-19 21:52Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.002$1.20
07-19 21:18Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.002$1.20
07-19 21:18Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.002$3.80
07-19 13:46Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.031$6.07
07-19 13:45Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.03$0.26
07-18 15:11Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.0283004473$46.69
07-15 23:46Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.007$1.01
07-14 21:19Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.02$2.50
07-07 20:55Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?SELL0.122$4.26
07-07 18:00Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.001$0.30
07-06 20:55Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.003$0.29
07-05 15:19Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.023$4.60
07-05 15:10Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.02397$4.79
07-04 16:10Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.01$7.00