0xbF4d202382
0xbf4d202382ba5702721a8c43126f5f08163733ed
- Realised P&L
- $43.5k
- Volume
- $6.60M
- Markets traded
- 428
- Open portfolio
- $31.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded428
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.4kat 0.050Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?
- +$10.4kat 0.738US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$7.7kat 0.698Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
- +$7.6kat 0.667Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
- +$6.3kat 0.859Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:10 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $38.23 |
| 08-02 23:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.7902112933 | $337.26 |
| 08-02 23:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.791007599 | $522.55 |
| 08-02 22:57 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $26.13 |
| 08-02 22:56 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 08-02 22:56 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $26.28 |
| 08-02 22:50 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.252 | $68.43 |
| 08-02 22:49 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $223.87 |
| 08-02 22:49 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $21.75 |
| 08-02 22:48 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.275 | $16.50 |
| 08-02 22:48 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.276 | $4.14 |
| 08-02 22:48 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $28.62 |
| 08-02 22:47 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2600909091 | $28.61 |
| 08-02 22:47 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2650322581 | $82.16 |
| 08-02 22:46 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.267 | $2.67 |