0xc119c5c0a2a3594eb7b5239635dd5277d1b4dcd7
- Realised P&L
- $-29.18
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 375
- Open portfolio
- $28.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded375
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.235 | $12.95 | +$3.03 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.675 | $3.93 | +$0.03 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.565 | $2.06 | +$0.13 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? · No | 0.340 | 0.325 | $1.83 | −$0.08 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No | 0.830 | 0.765 | $1.82 | −$0.15 |
| Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-08-04? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.325 | $1.73 | −$0.19 |
| Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 150m by August 31? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.021 | $1.71 | +$0.68 |
| Will Ararat-Armenia FA vs. NK Celje end in a draw? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.285 | $1.60 | −$0.31 |
| Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.039 | $0.82 | −$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.06at 0.522Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$49.00at 0.020Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
- +$33.44at 0.397Bitcoin Up or Down on March 12?
- +$25.89at 0.279XRP Up or Down - March 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
- +$15.98at 0.060Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 10:00 | Will Ararat-Armenia FA vs. NK Celje end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3399998861 | $1.91 |
| 07-31 07:03 | Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.3599999025 | $1.92 |
| 07-31 06:51 | Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.3499999359 | $1.91 |
| 07-31 06:19 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.3399998861 | $1.91 |
| 07-31 06:17 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.6699997183 | $1.95 |
| 07-31 06:01 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.6699997183 | $1.95 |
| 07-31 05:52 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5299999341 | $1.93 |
| 07-31 03:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.8299999874 | $1.98 |
| 07-31 03:31 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.1799999855 | $9.92 |
| 07-31 02:42 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5139999661 | $1.06 |
| 07-27 08:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.3499998486 | $1.04 |
| 07-27 06:43 | Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 150m by August 31? | BUY | 0.0126320756 | $1.03 |
| 07-27 06:43 | Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31? | BUY | 0.0487495815 | $1.03 |
| 07-27 06:16 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999604 | $1.05 |
| 07-27 04:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8199998927 | $1.07 |