PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

dave12345

0xc3200394fe335b646d329564c8af614408ca7637

Realised P&L
$5.4k
Volume
$265.1k
Markets traded
310
Open portfolio
$3.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded310
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.4670.675$1.7k+$517.37
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · No0.6930.885$1.3k+$287.78
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2590.225$178.06$26.83
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? · No0.2360.260$110.05+$10.23
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in August? · Yes0.3610.325$100.75$11.05
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August? · Yes0.0700.075$30.00+$2.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$20.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11? · Up0.2500.000$0.00$31.25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? · No0.2000.000$0.00$80.97
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026? · No0.1290.000$0.00$65.26
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14? · Down0.2350.000$0.00$94.00
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 5? · Up0.2100.000$0.00$42.00
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July? · Yes0.2110.000$0.00$42.20
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$3.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 8? · Up0.1540.000$0.00$30.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 00:17Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in August?BUY0.38$3.80
08-03 00:13Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?BUY0.25$30.82
07-30 13:45Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.66$99.17
07-30 13:42Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.66$132.00
07-30 13:42Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.66$66.00
07-28 18:36Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?SELL0.0030878609$3.09
07-28 18:36Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 in July?SELL0.0091360657$1.05
07-28 18:36Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?SELL0.0046812331$1.92
07-28 17:17Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.77$77.00
07-28 17:16Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.77$154.00
07-27 20:00S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?BUY0.9$60.00
07-24 21:31Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$6.25
07-24 21:31Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$1.25
07-24 21:31Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$14.10
07-24 21:18Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 in July?BUY0.53$21.20