PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

wfsxfwetrdsf

0xc3fca06e4c4eb130a46b38fb35fc0161ed54484a

Realised P&L
$-28.8k
Volume
$2.79M
Markets traded
5,494
Open portfolio
$11.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,494
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.870$522.00$42.00
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? · No0.8700.845$338.00$10.00
Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary? · No0.7800.625$333.22$82.64
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? · No0.6100.545$327.00$39.00
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? · No0.8080.732$321.86$33.66
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? · Yes0.7600.510$306.00$150.00
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.905$299.56$11.59
Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · No0.9080.833$289.29$26.24
Will Rafael Leao join Fenerbahce? · No0.8400.835$276.18$1.65
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.835$255.63$32.14
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · No0.7200.700$239.12$6.83
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? · No0.9070.779$222.94$36.46
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI? · No0.9820.829$221.34$40.85
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? · No0.5500.475$218.50$34.50
Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 6.5%-7.5%? · No0.6901.000$192.00+$59.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 02:26Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.2508333333$30.10
08-03 02:26Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.26$10.40
08-03 02:26Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.26$31.20
08-03 02:24Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.5551168344$32.55
08-03 02:23Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?SELL0.34$6.80
08-03 02:22Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?SELL0.57$52.10
08-03 02:20Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?SELL0.17$0.16
08-03 02:18Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?SELL0.795$17.88
08-03 02:18Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?SELL0.796$61.70
08-03 02:18Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.65$107.30
08-03 02:17Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?SELL0.2$0.76
08-03 02:16Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?SELL0.57$29.07
08-03 02:12Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?SELL0.754$26.39
08-03 02:12Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?SELL0.764$7.64
08-03 02:11Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?SELL0.04$3.88