PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

BetterFish

0xc412fdbe9956c2e242e8b45fae131c3e8598592d

Realised P&L
$38.2k
Volume
$2.97M
Markets traded
3,621
Open portfolio
$14.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded3,621
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? · No0.8950.915$1.5k+$31.49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.9851.000$999.48+$14.00
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · No0.9030.980$888.41+$69.68
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? · No0.8480.856$855.49+$7.50
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.5500.625$624.99+$75.00
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.6000.565$564.90$35.10
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.9570.986$492.75+$14.25
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by August 31? · Yes0.9570.984$484.32+$12.88
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.9620.958$478.75$2.25
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 225M by August 31? · No0.9810.989$450.54+$3.53
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.8950.877$438.75$8.75
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8200.855$427.50+$17.50
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.6350.775$400.52+$72.32
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 255M by August 31? · No0.9810.995$397.80+$5.40
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? · Yes0.7200.858$374.51+$60.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 16:47Will US crude oil reserves fall to 255M by August 31?BUY0.981$392.40
07-31 16:31Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?BUY0.9947862375$148.03
07-30 22:15Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?BUY0.989$106.76
07-30 18:31Will MrBeast's next video get at least 37.0 million views on day 6?BUY0.99$4.95
07-30 18:31Will MrBeast's next video get between 36.5 and 37.0 million views on day 6?BUY0.99$4.95
07-30 16:15Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?BUY0.99$4.95
07-30 16:15Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?BUY0.9895121951$202.85
07-30 16:15Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?BUY0.9815780347$16.98
07-30 16:14Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?BUY0.999$3.14
07-30 16:07Will MrBeast's next video get between 36.5 and 37.0 million views on day 6?BUY0.99$9.90
07-29 18:44Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?BUY0.999$49.95
07-29 18:41Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?BUY0.84$8.40
07-29 18:33Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?BUY0.999$49.95
07-29 18:12Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.68$17.67
07-29 18:11Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.68$33.39