BetterFish
0xc412fdbe9956c2e242e8b45fae131c3e8598592d
- Realised P&L
- $38.2k
- Volume
- $2.97M
- Markets traded
- 3,621
- Open portfolio
- $14.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,621
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.450Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
- +$1.4kat 0.074Will Brian Armstrong say AI/Artificial Intelligence times during his X space?
- +$1.3kat 0.421Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.849Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
- +$997.99at 0.880Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 16:47 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 255M by August 31? | BUY | 0.981 | $392.40 |
| 07-31 16:31 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.9947862375 | $148.03 |
| 07-30 22:15 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $106.76 |
| 07-30 18:31 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 37.0 million views on day 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-30 18:31 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 36.5 and 37.0 million views on day 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-30 16:15 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-30 16:15 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.9895121951 | $202.85 |
| 07-30 16:15 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.9815780347 | $16.98 |
| 07-30 16:14 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.14 |
| 07-30 16:07 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 36.5 and 37.0 million views on day 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 07-29 18:44 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 07-29 18:41 | Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 07-29 18:33 | Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 07-29 18:12 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $17.67 |
| 07-29 18:11 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $33.39 |