PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xcd4313426311739ffee5aced9e352f209f801b46

0xc4f8cb329ea0637fd26ca0d600392c50a5ac8a4a

Realised P&L
$-27.7k
Volume
$1.81M
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$13.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.1680.145$6.6k$1.0k
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1600.135$5.2k$978.91
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0870.025$882.00$2.3k
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0410.012$355.58$871.05
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0260.004$196.68$1.3k
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0130.004$173.33$396.06
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader? · Yes0.2930.000$0.00$1.5k
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$697.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Up0.5230.000$0.00$505.34
Will three people dissent the April Fed decision? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$249.99
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$3.2k
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Up0.3450.000$0.00$403.30
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? · No0.3890.000$0.00$2.3k
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1530.000$0.00$2.8k
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$150.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-29 04:53Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?BUY0.019$19.03
05-24 11:38Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.007$37.81
05-16 10:25Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.06$203.23
05-16 10:24Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0236738783$377.67
05-16 10:14Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.06$180.00
05-06 10:55Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0278891298$186.39
05-06 10:45Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.022$5.99
05-05 09:30Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?BUY0.031$14.57
05-04 08:39Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?BUY0.16$80.00
05-04 08:38Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?BUY0.15$2.25
04-30 04:06Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?BUY0.08$400.00
04-30 03:20Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.15$67.88
04-30 03:05Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.023$17.46
04-30 03:05Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.07$350.00
04-30 03:04Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.13$355.84