smackdatgame
0xc4f925fe2799df3c53f552545ee1fb0a8d328d24
- Realised P&L
- $-163.26
- Volume
- $78.8k
- Markets traded
- 930
- Open portfolio
- $118.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded930
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$146.32at 0.260Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 22?
- +$135.16at 0.235Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 18?
- +$134.14at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 19?
- +$107.04at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 24?
- +$106.94at 0.130Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C or higher on April 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 07:58 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.35 | $13.30 |
| 08-03 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 08-03 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.15 |
| 08-03 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.17 | $5.10 |
| 08-03 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.37 | $11.47 |
| 08-03 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.26 |
| 08-03 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.12 |
| 08-03 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.46 |
| 08-03 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.4 | $6.80 |
| 08-03 02:26 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 08-03 01:57 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.36 | $12.60 |
| 08-03 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.12 |
| 08-03 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 08-03 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.31 | $2.48 |
| 08-03 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.25 |