cnwleikufw923432
0xc5d4c9e6e189f91df2eef308a0adc21bdda00ceb
- Realised P&L
- $4.99
- Volume
- $313.84
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $1.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.012 | $1.92 | −$3.08 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $325,000 and $330,000 on September 30? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.021 | $0.10 | +$0.00 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.34at 0.640Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
- +$-5.26at 0.710Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:09 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | SELL | 0.6141697014 | $33.73 |
| 07-27 15:15 | Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.0413035397 | $4.00 |
| 07-27 15:14 | Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.0157342504 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 18:44 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.7099999825 | $39.00 |
| 07-21 14:05 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.64 | $25.49 |
| 07-21 14:05 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.018628218 | $1.00 |