0xc5e77c27855adB2025411aa4dFaFC16F8d82C727-1739833326729
0xc5e77c27855adb2025411aa4dfafc16f8d82c727
- Realised P&L
- $-80.39
- Volume
- $64.6k
- Markets traded
- 849
- Open portfolio
- $138.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded849
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$158.25at 0.902Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?
- +$149.44at 0.118Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$70.63at 0.527Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?
- +$61.02at 0.591Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 3?
- +$57.09at 0.576Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 08-02 21:40 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 08-02 21:40 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 08-02 21:40 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 08-02 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 08-02 20:41 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 08-02 20:07 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 08-02 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 16:20 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 08-02 16:20 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 08-02 16:19 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 08-02 15:27 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 08-02 15:26 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 08-02 15:25 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 08-02 15:25 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.996 | $34.84 |