PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

38388

0xc5ea7779ccceb73c22eeeebb7ca2e6e8dc9d83f5

Realised P&L
$4.6k
Volume
$418.2k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$19.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.4900.585$7.4k+$1.2k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.0700.125$5.4k+$2.4k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.1810.235$3.7k+$856.68
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2600.275$1.6k+$86.76
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.1100.095$1.3k$200.18
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$95.03
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$62.96
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$169.57
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Morocco? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$172.00
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$200.00
Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$64.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00$204.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Down0.3700.000$0.00$1.5k
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$186.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET · Up0.5610.000$0.00$500.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 02:11 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?BUY0.2599896194$1.5k
08-02 02:10US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY0.1097190515$1.5k
08-02 01:46Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.49$6.2k
08-02 01:46Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.1807763909$2.9k
08-02 01:44Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.07$3.0k
07-15 17:37Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.06$45.01
07-15 17:35Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1$50.00
07-15 17:30Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.06$41.54
07-15 17:28Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.06$8.48
07-15 16:06Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.032$64.00
07-15 16:05Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.08$64.00
07-15 16:05Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.015$1.67
07-15 15:55Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?SELL0.08$40.00
07-15 15:55Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?SELL0.039$35.10
07-15 15:55Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?SELL0.06$30.00