38388
0xc5ea7779ccceb73c22eeeebb7ca2e6e8dc9d83f5
- Realised P&L
- $4.6k
- Volume
- $418.2k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $19.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.160Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal?
- +$3.2kat 0.045Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?
- +$881.97at 0.576Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
- +$736.00at 0.080Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$591.57at 0.575Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 02:11 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.2599896194 | $1.5k |
| 08-02 02:10 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.1097190515 | $1.5k |
| 08-02 01:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.49 | $6.2k |
| 08-02 01:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.1807763909 | $2.9k |
| 08-02 01:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.0k |
| 07-15 17:37 | Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.06 | $45.01 |
| 07-15 17:35 | Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 07-15 17:30 | Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.06 | $41.54 |
| 07-15 17:28 | Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.06 | $8.48 |
| 07-15 16:06 | Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.032 | $64.00 |
| 07-15 16:05 | Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.08 | $64.00 |
| 07-15 16:05 | Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.67 |
| 07-15 15:55 | Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? | SELL | 0.08 | $40.00 |
| 07-15 15:55 | Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina? | SELL | 0.039 | $35.10 |
| 07-15 15:55 | Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina? | SELL | 0.06 | $30.00 |