0xc6628e0ca87e439Bba57294Dc8Fd7A503a7bB919-1772376149147
0xc6628e0ca87e439bba57294dc8fd7a503a7bb919
- Realised P&L
- $15.2k
- Volume
- $1.41M
- Markets traded
- 505
- Open portfolio
- $27.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded505
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.728Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.851Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
- +$1.6kat 0.831Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.001Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.685Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:12 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | BUY | 0.73 | $116.80 |
| 08-02 14:12 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | BUY | 0.73 | $321.27 |
| 08-02 06:42 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.12 | $36.00 |
| 08-01 17:41 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.6790194 | $339.51 |
| 08-01 17:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | SELL | 0.6220018589 | $1.1k |
| 08-01 17:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | SELL | 0.5803406 | $290.17 |
| 08-01 17:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.47 | $234.86 |
| 08-01 14:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.66 | $15.83 |
| 08-01 14:46 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.71 | $1.4k |
| 08-01 14:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.72 | $1.5k |
| 08-01 13:38 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | SELL | 0.8569917333 | $257.10 |
| 08-01 11:11 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | SELL | 0.0801 | $80.10 |
| 08-01 06:21 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.78 | $780.00 |
| 08-01 06:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.83998 | $4.2k |
| 07-31 19:39 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.994 | $284.94 |