MaxS5
0xc664a9598aa3e01fd6655d92c6c28d10713fc3e6
- Realised P&L
- $64.61
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $690.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.885 | 0.855 | $241.58 | −$8.42 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.528 | 0.445 | $210.59 | −$39.41 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.365 | $202.78 | −$97.22 |
| US recession by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.095 | $35.19 | −$64.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$268.77at 0.379EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$82.47at 0.658EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
- +$44.00at 0.795EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$10.74at 0.903Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
- +$-31.52at 0.307EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-16 18:04 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999983 | $100.00 |
| 04-05 14:09 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8847987986 | $250.00 |
| 04-05 14:07 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5282672823 | $250.00 |
| 04-05 07:09 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999997 | $300.00 |
| 04-01 16:57 | EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.21 | $68.48 |
| 03-31 16:46 | EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3066599824 | $100.00 |
| 03-31 16:46 | Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | BUY | 0.9029999918 | $100.00 |
| 03-31 16:46 | Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | BUY | 0.6149999977 | $95.44 |
| 03-31 13:31 | EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8887984908 | $468.77 |
| 03-31 13:16 | EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.93 | $282.47 |
| 03-31 13:16 | EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.97 | $243.99 |
| 03-31 09:50 | EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3792038607 | $200.00 |
| 03-31 09:49 | EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7950733281 | $200.00 |
| 03-31 09:20 | EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6584750374 | $200.00 |